Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 7.232080 8.282899 9.448369 10.839479 12.458172 14.286332 16.513258
2025-01-12 5.752498 7.085541 8.685997 10.758623 13.385554 16.622293 20.940499
2025-01-19 4.843703 6.283600 8.113427 10.627683 14.021067 18.482216 24.857424
2025-01-26 4.387384 5.940911 8.010586 10.999318 15.253709 21.165877 30.132790
2025-02-02 3.995212 5.611082 7.852532 11.231124 16.268475 23.617877 35.368473
2025-02-09 3.738755 5.426712 7.855337 11.662051 17.584441 26.623427 41.805729
2025-02-16 3.333409 4.974381 7.409438 11.355257 17.721710 27.823200 45.532688
2025-02-23 3.037229 4.650600 7.114547 11.233486 18.111240 29.433310 50.111802
2025-03-02 2.787216 4.370483 6.853718 11.127065 18.495608 31.053670 54.897483
2025-03-09 2.557079 4.098272 6.575613 10.954961 18.735664 32.433974 59.412549
2025-03-16 2.339788 3.826178 6.270120 10.699301 18.790690 33.475338 63.410279
2025-03-23 2.273182 3.798647 6.368885 11.154433 20.166198 37.074717 72.877969
2025-03-30 2.148136 3.662496 6.272638 11.256566 20.912972 39.608883 80.651324
2025-04-06 2.007538 3.486845 6.090740 11.180653 21.308142 41.502513 87.371155
2025-04-13 1.872549 3.309442 5.889149 11.044567 21.564162 43.137291 93.763365
2025-04-20 1.821053 3.279636 5.955062 11.432260 22.921085 47.220489 106.342292
2025-04-27 1.754253 3.215220 5.949183 11.674094 23.998323 50.836666 118.419687
2025-05-04 1.716740 3.202963 6.041375 12.123714 25.570697 55.748344 134.498382
2025-05-11 1.595199 3.017953 5.778877 11.803604 25.406474 56.671735 140.615570
2025-05-18 1.504578 2.887167 5.614189 11.676559 25.663385 58.612349 149.724630
2025-05-25 1.422837 2.768073 5.463662 11.565532 25.943744 60.642299 159.422972
2025-06-01 1.340835 2.642482 5.289857 11.385990 26.041250 62.231119 168.165096
2025-06-08 1.257093 2.507425 5.085967 11.119301 25.898508 63.192846 175.270947